Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000284 0.000318 0.000354 0.000395 0.000441 0.000491 0.000549
2025-04-27 0.000244 0.000291 0.000344 0.000408 0.000485 0.000573 0.000681
2025-05-04 0.000211 0.000266 0.000331 0.000414 0.000519 0.000645 0.000808
2025-05-11 0.000186 0.000245 0.000319 0.000419 0.000550 0.000714 0.000937
2025-05-18 0.000162 0.000224 0.000304 0.000416 0.000568 0.000768 0.001051
2025-05-25 0.000146 0.000210 0.000296 0.000420 0.000596 0.000836 0.001187
2025-06-01 0.000131 0.000194 0.000283 0.000417 0.000612 0.000887 0.001303
2025-06-08 0.000118 0.000181 0.000273 0.000415 0.000630 0.000941 0.001427
2025-06-15 0.000108 0.000171 0.000266 0.000417 0.000651 0.001000 0.001562
2025-06-22 0.000098 0.000161 0.000256 0.000413 0.000664 0.001048 0.001682
2025-06-29 0.000092 0.000155 0.000254 0.000420 0.000693 0.001122 0.001849
2025-07-06 0.000086 0.000148 0.000249 0.000423 0.000715 0.001186 0.002003
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000140 0.000241 0.000419 0.000728 0.001237 0.002142
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000137 0.000241 0.000431 0.000767 0.001335 0.002368
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000132 0.000239 0.000437 0.000795 0.001416 0.002572
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000127 0.000235 0.000441 0.000822 0.001496 0.002779
2025-08-10 0.000061 0.000120 0.000228 0.000437 0.000833 0.001549 0.002941
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000116 0.000225 0.000442 0.000860 0.001632 0.003165
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000111 0.000219 0.000438 0.000870 0.001685 0.003336
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000106 0.000213 0.000436 0.000886 0.001748 0.003529
2025-09-07 0.000048 0.000102 0.000210 0.000438 0.000906 0.001822 0.003750
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000097 0.000204 0.000434 0.000916 0.001876 0.003935
2025-09-21 0.000043 0.000095 0.000204 0.000441 0.000949 0.001979 0.004225